Usually most beginner traders after failing to make a profit in Forex start looking for a perfect system that could make them successful। They ask successful traders what Fx trading system they use. In my opinion the system is not the most important thing to your success as a trader. The most important thing is your discipline and mindset.
Yet there are some things that need to be looked in a trading system to figure out if it is profitable or not। The most important thing is what the traders call “the edge†or mathematical expectation of a trading system. The system can have a positive edge or negative edge. If it is positive you will build up you account over long period of time if you keep executing your trades. If it is negative you will drain you account no matter how big profit you are making in a single trade.
How do you find out if your system has a positive expectation or negative? The only way to figure it out is to test it। Go all the way back in time on your charts and test it on the historical data. After that forward test �" trade on a demo account. Execute at least 100 trades.
Let’s say in your trading system you are taking profit at 30 pips and cut your loses at 15 pips। After testing you find out that 40 trades out of 100 hit the take profit level and the rest 60 stopped out in loss. Mathematical expectation for this system is 30*40/100-15*60/100=3 pips. In other words average profit of each trade is 3 pips. While it seems not a lot but with this edge you can consistently grow your account.
What if you find that your system loses 65 times out of 100 and wins 35 times। Then the expectation is 30*30/100-15*70=-1.5. The expectation is negative. Even if you are losing only pip and half per trade you will be consistently decreasing amount of money in your account.
This is one of the reasons why I strongly recommend practicing execution of your trading system। It will do two things for you. It will develop discipline to act upon your trading system signals. The second very important thing it will give you data to calculate the mathematical expectation of your system. If after long period of testing you find that expectation keeps being negative then switch the system.
It always surprises me when I see people trade a system and have no clue what is the mathematical expectation of their system। Even more surprisingly I see some people trade systems with negative expectations. You need to know the edge of your system and if it is positive you need to be disciplined to follow through your trading plan of executing it.
About the Author
Albert Schmidt is a part-time currency trader. After quite a long period of struggle he learned to make consistent profit trading in Forex. Review a trading system with a positive edge that can help you to become a successful trader.
Sunday, September 07, 2008
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
Forex Trading Tips - 4 X Trading Tips to Supercharge Your Profit Potential by kelly Price
The forex trading tips enclosed can turn a mediocre forex trading strategy in to a winner and anyone thinking of trading should consider incorporating them because they work - here they are...
1. Leverage Stops and Risk
Most traders get 200:1 leverage from their broker and want to use it but this is a huge mistake - a trader should use leverage wisely and 10 20: 1, is enough. This allows you to risk more to your stop and this is vital to success.
Most traders put stops so close they are guaranteed to get stopped out by normal volatility. They get the direction right, see their stop hit and then see prices reverse back the other way and make thousands and their not in!
If you want to win, your stop must be far enough back so you don't get hit by random price moves in the trend. This isn't being rash this is sensible investment strategy.
2. Risk More Per Trade
In line with the above forget all the rubbish you read about risking 2% per trade.
On a small account its so little risk it guarantees you will get stopped out.
Sure if you have 100k you can do this - but not on a small account.
Many traders try to restrict and control risk so much they create it and lose. To make meaningful gains, you need to risk 10 - 20% on a small account.
3. Learn Patience
Most traders think the more they trade the more profits they are going to pile up - dead wrong.
You don't get rewarded for your trading frequency; you get rewarded for being right!
The high odds trades only come around a few times a month in each currency - hit these and hit them hard.
Hitting the high odds trades and hitting them hard can make you a lot of money. I know lots of forex traders, who only trade a few times a month and still pile up big triple digit annual gains, because they are hitting good risk to reward trades and hitting them hard.
4. Forget Diversification
OK on a 100k account there is an argument for doing it but not on a small account.
If you have a great trade, why potentially dilute its profit potential by taking trades for the sake of trading? It doesn't make sense and will dilute your potential profits.
Hit the high odds trade you like and focus on it.
Keep in mind:
You Don't Get Rewarded for Effort in forex trading.
Many traders make this mistake.
They want to trade and force profits but this is not possible. They spend a lot of effort looking for trades that it blinds them to the fact most are dogs and should be passed by.
In forex trading your success is determined by the accuracy of your trading signals and your market timing and the money you put in your pocket - that's it.
So the forex trading tips here mean you need to be patient, hit high odds trades, hit them hard and take meaningful, calculated risks so, you can make a triple digit annual income.
The above is really common sense and these forex trading tips, should be the cornerstone of your forex trading strategy and if you use them wisely and have a good forex trading system then you can enjoy the currency trading success you desire.
1. Leverage Stops and Risk
Most traders get 200:1 leverage from their broker and want to use it but this is a huge mistake - a trader should use leverage wisely and 10 20: 1, is enough. This allows you to risk more to your stop and this is vital to success.
Most traders put stops so close they are guaranteed to get stopped out by normal volatility. They get the direction right, see their stop hit and then see prices reverse back the other way and make thousands and their not in!
If you want to win, your stop must be far enough back so you don't get hit by random price moves in the trend. This isn't being rash this is sensible investment strategy.
2. Risk More Per Trade
In line with the above forget all the rubbish you read about risking 2% per trade.
On a small account its so little risk it guarantees you will get stopped out.
Sure if you have 100k you can do this - but not on a small account.
Many traders try to restrict and control risk so much they create it and lose. To make meaningful gains, you need to risk 10 - 20% on a small account.
3. Learn Patience
Most traders think the more they trade the more profits they are going to pile up - dead wrong.
You don't get rewarded for your trading frequency; you get rewarded for being right!
The high odds trades only come around a few times a month in each currency - hit these and hit them hard.
Hitting the high odds trades and hitting them hard can make you a lot of money. I know lots of forex traders, who only trade a few times a month and still pile up big triple digit annual gains, because they are hitting good risk to reward trades and hitting them hard.
4. Forget Diversification
OK on a 100k account there is an argument for doing it but not on a small account.
If you have a great trade, why potentially dilute its profit potential by taking trades for the sake of trading? It doesn't make sense and will dilute your potential profits.
Hit the high odds trade you like and focus on it.
Keep in mind:
You Don't Get Rewarded for Effort in forex trading.
Many traders make this mistake.
They want to trade and force profits but this is not possible. They spend a lot of effort looking for trades that it blinds them to the fact most are dogs and should be passed by.
In forex trading your success is determined by the accuracy of your trading signals and your market timing and the money you put in your pocket - that's it.
So the forex trading tips here mean you need to be patient, hit high odds trades, hit them hard and take meaningful, calculated risks so, you can make a triple digit annual income.
The above is really common sense and these forex trading tips, should be the cornerstone of your forex trading strategy and if you use them wisely and have a good forex trading system then you can enjoy the currency trading success you desire.
Monday, September 01, 2008
FREE Forex Robot - This One is Free and Makes Money by kelly Price
The free forex robot we are going to look at is free and makes money, yet most traders never consider it. Lets look at how and why it works but despite this most traders wont use it...
Automated Forex trading systems are big business online - but the vast majority don't make money. They simply promote paper track records which fail in real time trading and destroy the traders equity.
The one we are going to look at here has worked in real time and many of the top traders have used it in their forex trading strategies, to make big profits.
This is a simple system it only has one rule to follow. The system was devised in the seventies by one of the great traders Richard Donchian, who used it to trade commodities markets.
It doesn't just work on commodities it works on any trending market and currency markets are therefore ideal, as they offer excellent trends.
Let's take a look at the rule of the system which is called the 4 Week Rule.
Buy a new 4 week calendar high - stop and reverse the position, on a break of a new 4 week calendar low and then look to stop and reverse again on a new 4 week calendar high and continue to do this always keeping an open position in the currency.
That's it and while incredibly simple, it works for the following reasons.
It's based on breakout methodology
It's a fact that most big trends, start and continue from new market highs or lows, so this forex robot will make sure you are in on all the big trends and profits.
Long Term Trend Following
It's based on catching and holding the long term trends.
A look at any forex chart will reveal trends that continue for many months or years and this trading system will keep you in them without getting bumped out by short term volatility.
It's Totally Objective and Disciplined
You don't have to think or make subjective judgements; you get a clear cut signal which you simply execute in the market.
It's Time Efficient
It will take you around 15 - 30 minutes a day to operate and that's it, you can go and do something else.
Like any forex trading system it will have a weakness and this one will generate losses, when markets don't trend or are in periods of consolidation, so you can consider adding another exit rule:
Place a stop at a one or two week high or low and then go flat and wait for the next signal.
This can help combat a non trending market but whichever way you choose this free forex robot will make big long term gains.
Most traders don't even consider this system, even when they know it works!
Why?
Quite simply because they think it's too simple (even though all the top trading systems are), also it's not a system that goes for pinpoint market timing and many traders want to predict highs and lows, even though its obvious this is not possible.
Finally, it just isn't packaged nicely - you get no flashy box, or name that indicates it's vicious animal, or a load of garbage sales patter.
For some reason traders will buy forex robots that have never been traded but one that can make them money - they ignore it!
If you want to make money in forex trading, this free forex robot will help you and you should try it. The system doesn't cost you anything and has been used for over 20 years by numerous traders, to improve their forex profits and it can help you achieve forex trading success too.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFSESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf's and more on the best FREE Automated Forex Trading System and an exclusive risk free Currency trading Course visit our website.
Automated Forex trading systems are big business online - but the vast majority don't make money. They simply promote paper track records which fail in real time trading and destroy the traders equity.
The one we are going to look at here has worked in real time and many of the top traders have used it in their forex trading strategies, to make big profits.
This is a simple system it only has one rule to follow. The system was devised in the seventies by one of the great traders Richard Donchian, who used it to trade commodities markets.
It doesn't just work on commodities it works on any trending market and currency markets are therefore ideal, as they offer excellent trends.
Let's take a look at the rule of the system which is called the 4 Week Rule.
Buy a new 4 week calendar high - stop and reverse the position, on a break of a new 4 week calendar low and then look to stop and reverse again on a new 4 week calendar high and continue to do this always keeping an open position in the currency.
That's it and while incredibly simple, it works for the following reasons.
It's based on breakout methodology
It's a fact that most big trends, start and continue from new market highs or lows, so this forex robot will make sure you are in on all the big trends and profits.
Long Term Trend Following
It's based on catching and holding the long term trends.
A look at any forex chart will reveal trends that continue for many months or years and this trading system will keep you in them without getting bumped out by short term volatility.
It's Totally Objective and Disciplined
You don't have to think or make subjective judgements; you get a clear cut signal which you simply execute in the market.
It's Time Efficient
It will take you around 15 - 30 minutes a day to operate and that's it, you can go and do something else.
Like any forex trading system it will have a weakness and this one will generate losses, when markets don't trend or are in periods of consolidation, so you can consider adding another exit rule:
Place a stop at a one or two week high or low and then go flat and wait for the next signal.
This can help combat a non trending market but whichever way you choose this free forex robot will make big long term gains.
Most traders don't even consider this system, even when they know it works!
Why?
Quite simply because they think it's too simple (even though all the top trading systems are), also it's not a system that goes for pinpoint market timing and many traders want to predict highs and lows, even though its obvious this is not possible.
Finally, it just isn't packaged nicely - you get no flashy box, or name that indicates it's vicious animal, or a load of garbage sales patter.
For some reason traders will buy forex robots that have never been traded but one that can make them money - they ignore it!
If you want to make money in forex trading, this free forex robot will help you and you should try it. The system doesn't cost you anything and has been used for over 20 years by numerous traders, to improve their forex profits and it can help you achieve forex trading success too.
NEW! 2 X FREE ESSENTIAL TRADER PDFSESSENTIAL FOREX TRADING COURSE
For free 2 x trading Pdf's and more on the best FREE Automated Forex Trading System and an exclusive risk free Currency trading Course visit our website.
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